Ignorance is Bliss, until Reality Bites.

Ignorance comes in several forms, the most literal and common form is generally a result of a lack of knowledge or information, which can be cured. But there are other forms of ignorance which are delusional and denial based, where people try to avoid learning more, or push it out of their mind, because, let's face it, Reality sometimes sucks.

Global Warming, Over Population, Depleted Resources and all the problems that ARE coming, yes, even to St. Maarten, can be ignored, for now. You can pretend it's not your problem, you can ignore or avoid having to face and think about it by getting on with your daily life. But I want to make you a promise for the future. In the coming years you are going to discover, sooner rather than later that you have to face Reality, it doesn't just sometimes suck, it also bites.

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Six Months ago I wrote a Blog post titled 'Don't Worry, Be Happy!', in it I recounted a story about an evening I had had with some friends, at which I had brought up the subject of Global Warming. Up until that moment the conversation was warm and happy, but the mention of GW cast a shadow and awkwardness over the table, my educated and middle class friends not only know very little of the subject, but more importantly they didn't show any interest to learn more about it.

Yesterday a new report was released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warning that we, the human race, you and I, our governments, have 8 Years left to take action and hopefully avoid some of the worst predictions.

It is really no longer an issue of Global Warming being a reality, anyone that tells you different is really an utter moron and ignorant, to be ridiculed with the facts. The concern now is how to limit the effects it will have and to cope with the ones we know are coming. And they are coming, have no doubt.

Do you have children?

I don't and I think it's unlikely I will, not because I don't want any, because as I grow older and watch my friends and relatives children growing up I do have fatherly pangs. But knowing what we know about the state of the planet and the future they will have, I think it's best not to. I do wonder though, how those of you who do have children feel about the future they will have.

Sean Paul Kelley over at The Agonist wrote a blog a few days ago with the title 'A Global Conversation No One Wants To Have', a post that sparked off a very interesting thread, please go take a look at reality being discussed.

Global Warming is not the only painful reality the human race has yet to fully comprehend and face, over population is also right there along side it.. Both of these combined are going to change our world unless faced with bold decisive visionary leadership.

Do I think we are screwed? Yes, I do, because not only is there no bold decisive visionary leadership to be seen here on the island, but also most people, not really having much of a clue about such issues, wouldn't recognise it anyway. They write to the newspapers complaining about gas prices, using names that are designed to make them appear wise, yet they have no real clue about the big picture.

Reading those links will help you to understand my theory concerning gas prices which is this.

Over the next few years the effects of Global Warming are going to become more and more 'in our face'. People and governments will turn green because they have no other choice. It is already happening, the EU has passed very tight tight targets for emissions, Spain has just opened what will eventually be the world biggest solar mirror power plant. Canada is close behind with North America's largest photovoltaic solar farm and the Uk is planning a tidal power plant. Huge offshore windfarms are springing up all over the world, thirteen countries can now generate over 1000 MW, Germany leading the way with over 20,000 MW and more are planned.

Because the Oil Companies know this change is coming, they are milking and reaping great profits and by not investing in refineries, they are making sure the price for oil stays high in it's dying days. Why invest money in a dying industry?

That's my theory anyway......

There is good news out there, India has a solar loan program, the South Pacific just voted to stop bottom trawling, scientists may have a lead in the case of the missing bees and the Pope has issued a new green message for world's Catholics.

But the bad news outweighs the good news. A new study has found that sea ice melt is faster than predicted, drought is spreading, did you notice the stories about Trindad in the papers this week? Did you read and take in the story in my Earth Day Blog about Australia considering cutting irrigation water to it's food bowl, an area larger than France and Spain combined. Please do, and think about it for a moment.

Do you feel that it's been hotter than usual for April? Have you noticed the sparce rainfall? The UK recently announced that April was set to be the hottest on record, does it make you wonder how hot summer is going to be? And if the bee problem wasn't enough, then it's the moths, also pollenators, or the Pacific whales.

Climate change can can be tackled, many businesses around the world are getting with the program, but in St. Maarten our business leaders and politicians are muted and silent. A couple of months ago some students pursuaded Le Grand Marche to start using bio degradable shopping bags, supposedly in June. While this is a good thing, my question is this. Are the owners of this store and all the others totally ignorant of the damage their business behavior causes to the island? Why are there no business leaders willing to step forward and show an example of their own initiative? Are they all ignorant and what kind of ignorance is it?

I think mostly, it's the immoral kind, the one where they pretend not to know.

As I sit and write I can hear fireworks being let off at Carnival Village.

I feel like putting on a Toga, grabbing a fiddle and playing it, just like Nero.

What more can I do? My blog posts about Global Warming get the least amount of comments, is this because no one cares? Or are you all just so overwhelmed by the implications and hugeness of ths issue that you would rather not think about it.

Like I said in my introduction, Reality is getting ready to bite, be warned.

How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic - 22th April 2007

IPCC Report in full

Caribdude

Caribdude's blog | add new comment

Submitted by Caribdude on Sun, 2007-05-06 06:42.

What do you want people to do?
Anonymous (not verified) | Sun, 2007-05-06 12:44

I like your post and the information you give. I understand your worries but I think most people are waiting on a joint effort to take measures. It's a classical we all wait on each other. People don't want to take initiative individually or simply don't know how to. So give some suggestions as to what you think should be done on Sint Maarten to contribute?

small things
Anonymous (not verified) | Wed, 2007-05-09 21:14

I agree with this posting, but to answer the question of what you can do, I would say there is a lot you can do. Since small things can make a difference, we can do small things to contribute to less polution, less carbon and less global warming.

Think about it...
Maybe we should stop with using all those plastic bags from the shops. Even when I by a bread, they put it into two bags. Why? In Ireland the government introduces taxes on the use of plastic bags. It reduced the amount of bags with an incredible percentage. Use bags that you can use several times. Or by bags at: www.reusablebags.com

Maybe we should stop with the spoiling of energy. Turn the lights of when you are not in the room. Switch of the airconditioning when you leave home for a longer period. Switch of your computers at night. Do not leave you TV or stereo in stand-by mode. It will save energy, and it will save you money.

Maybe we should fly less. OK, that's sometimes difficult living on this small island. But you can also pay a little extra and then organisations will plant trees all over the world to compensate the emission of gases during the flight. Fly green (or as green as possible) Look at www.greenseat.com

Maybe government should start with collecting glass seperately. Is it too difficult to place bottle containers on the island. This is not new, or revolutionary; they do it on the French side!

And you can do all this without a big loss of joy of life. Sometimes it will cost you a little money, but if you can afford it, it's not a big deal. If you can't afford it, you could start with energy saving. And besides all of this, it will give you a good feeling as well.

So, start with the small things to achieve big results, hopefully!

Education is key
Caribdude | Sun, 2007-05-06 15:24

There are many things that could be done, committments that could be made, but I think they will all fall flat on their face if the general population does not understand the reasons behind them. This is why I say education is the key, because the truth is an overwhelming majority of the island's population do not understand or comprehend what is happening in the world. Unless they understand the need for the radical actions and significant changes that are required, they will resist them.

It will cost millions of $'s, but it will cost much much more than money if we don't do it. With all the consequences of GW and population growth, the question of whether tourism as we know it today has any real future must be asked. When sea level rises will we have beaches? With stronger and more frequent hurricanes, will we have hotels, or even houses for ourselves, will insurance be possible anymore? With famine, droughts, wars and all the social upheaval these things entail, will St. Maarten be able to import just about everything as it does today?

And this is why I ask and challenge the Massoods, the Spadaro's, the Ramchandi's and all the other big business people on the island what kind of future they think their businesses have? Do they really just not think it's a problem to be concerned about or are in denial and pushing it from their thoughts? Or perhaps they really don't care, afterall, most of them have the means and ways to go elsewhere. I would like to know and I would like them to be asked and pressured to face reality, by the media and the population.

And I issue another challenge, to Sarah Wescott, to Roy, to William, to Frans, to Gracita, Theo and all the rest of these so called 'leaders'. Are you brave enough, smart enough and concerned enough to enter into this conversation? Are you afraid people will think you are wacko for speaking up about it? I mean, for some of you it has to be a difficult turn around to start caring about the environment eh? I know some of these people read this site, or their friends do, but if they are not brave enough to talk about this issue here then I doubt they are capable of the leadership that is needed. As with most other things, they will wait until things start going bad before they act.

Some of the proposals I have will be drastic and unpopular and the only way they have any chance is if people understand the need behind them and if adaption is made as painless as possible. Therefore I would say that a comprehensive community education program must be a central part of the program.

I will get back to you in the next few days when I have time to write something up.

Caribdude

GW
Anonymous (not verified) | Tue, 2007-05-08 18:27

I too am interested in seeing more discussion and awareness about this subject as it is evident, like you say, that people dig their heads in the sand or are more interested in Gas prices or alleged pedophiles.

BUT (and here's the hugely unpopular BIG BUT) - whatever happened to the idea that science usually goes about presenting 'proof' to substantiate it's theories (otherwise it wouldn't be science)? - proof that is lacking with Global Warming in regard ONLY to the aspect of CO2 emissions being responsible (notice I said ONLY, because the facts of global warming and pollution are real - but the cause is still speculation regardless of how many scientists 'agree' (you will remember my previous discussions on this).

Ok, so let's suppose science doesn't have 'proof' per se - what then - well they usually use the principle of 'Occam's Razor' (which I know you have written about) - BUT when all the hysteria and 'fluff' is sifted out and many more factors are thrown into the equation, the most likely explanation is NOT Co2 but the periodic cycles of the suns' electromagnetic activity and it's influence on not only Earth but the entire solar system.

I won't go on here because I think only a one- on- one debate would be fruitful, but I will say that if you, as a self-professed concerned 'messenger to the people' accuse anyone who does not choose to follow the same party line as 'everyone else', "ignorant" and a "moron" then you are guilty of the exact same mentality as those who brought about the doctrine of 'if you're not with us you're against us' or, to be more curt - the Hegelian Dialectic - i.e the end justifies the means.

War in Iraq was just such a Dialectic except it didn't quite work out.

Dam

PS By the way - if they are so concerned about the possible water shortage they foretell, why is no-one collecting all that fresh-water ice that is melting? It would kill two birds with one stone - supply masses of much needed water AND help stop the desalination of the ocean.

Your "big but" is not so
Anonymous (not verified) | Wed, 2007-05-09 09:58

Your "big but" is not so unpopular, I'm afraid.

When it comes to GW or the environment in general, people seem to try to use anything to place a cause or solution beyond the reach of their own actions.
"Technology will find a solution" (why wait for that?), "Industry is a much bigger polluter then consumers" (who is industry producing for?) ,"Nature itself produces much more CO2". That's true, see this quote from "A short history of nearly everything" from Bill Bryson (near the end of chapter 17)

"Unfortunately, human beings have a careless predilection for disrupting this [long-term carbon cycle] by putting lots of extra carbon into the atmosphere whether the foraminiferans [=tiny marine organisms] are ready for it or not. Since 1850, it has been estimated, we have lofted about a hundred billion tons of extra carbon into the air, a total that increases by about seven billion tons each year. Overall, that's not actually all that much. Nature mostly through the belchings of volcanoes and the decay of plants sends about 200 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere each year, nearly thirty times as much as we do with our cars and factories. But you have only to look at the haze that hangs over our cities to see what a difference our contribution makes."

I think the "but" in the last sentence is more important than yours.

But BUT
Anonymous (not verified) | Thu, 2007-05-10 16:29

Haze over the cities and pollution is one thing - equating global warming with CO2 is another.
One argument does not prove the other in your quote.

Just because I have a zit on my BUTT, it doesn't mean my bedroom is contaminated!!

It's a shame you're trying to debate using leaps of logic and tangental reasoning.

Also you seem to be confusing my arguments about the origin of global warming with denial which is prevalent amongst the population and about which you base your last post.
Again - Global Warming is real. Over pollution is real. Over consumption and waste is real.
BUT - global warming 'caused' by CO2 emmissions? Now that's a different story.

Throwing evidence of mans' destruction, carelessness (ok CRIMINAL activities) and everything ever written about the subject at me does not change the fact that a fundamental 'assumption' has been made using the principles of Occams Razor specifically because there is NO 'proof' that co2 'causes' global warming.

In time I think it will be shown to be a ruse, a misdirection, a fallacy of facts or just a plain old mistake. No-one is talking about the MAJOR role of the Sun in Earth's climate.

Dam

Don't get me wrong: I was
Anonymous (not verified) | Fri, 2007-05-11 10:29

Don't get me wrong: I was not debating with you or trying to prove something by "throwing evidence at you", just tried to place a remark about the "unpopularity" of the "but" you used. (Now you wrote "butt" I see "your but" sounds a bit funny :-) , sorry didn't mean that)

The quote I used in my "last post" (which was also my first btw) was meant as an illustration: it just shows that an argument people may use to deny that human CO2 emission has a negative effect on the environment is not questioned at all.

But then it ends with the "but" with the example about the haze which I think is more important than the "but" you wrote about equalling global warming with CO2.

Why do I think this is more important? As you said pollution is real. Whether or not part of that pollution (CO2) is causing global warming is not the most important issue for me. I would rather like to see us to be able to reduce pollution than a 100% proof (is that scientifically possible?) that human CO2 emission is or is not causing GW.

I am not confusing your arguments about the origin of global warming with denial. But I'm afraid that a lot of people might use them wrongly as another reason to not feel responsible for the impact of their behaviour on the environment.

Of course that's not a reason to not write about it, not at all. But I would have liked it if you had added a "but" or "ps" similar to the one in the Bill Bryson quote. That's why I placed my remark.

By the way, the ps you did write might be a nice suggestion for Roy Marlin? ;-)

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